Comércio registra o pior trimestre da história, revela indicador da Serasa Experian


Recuo nos primeiros três meses do ano foi de 8,5%. Medição começou em 2000.

De acordo com o Indicador Serasa Experian de Atividade do Comércio, o movimento dos consumidores nas lojas de todo o país caiu 1,5% em março/16 na comparação com o mês imediatamente anterior (fev/16), já contemplando os devidos ajustes sazonais. Em relação mesmo mês do ano passado (mar/15), a retração da atividade varejista em março de 2016 foi de 9,2%. No acumulado do primeiro trimestre de 2016, a atividade varejista caiu 8,5% na comparação com o primeiro trimestre de 2015.

Segundo os economistas da Serasa Experian, o aumento do desemprego, as taxas de inflação ainda elevadas, o crédito cada vez mais caro e o baixo grau de confiança do consumidor continuam impactando negativamente o desempenho da atividade varejista no país, especialmente nos segmentos onde o crédito sempre exerceu um papel importante na comercialização.

Em março/16, os setores que apresentaram queda na movimentação de consumidores foram o de móveis, eletroeletrônicos e equipamentos de informática (-2,5%), supermercados, hipermercados, alimentos e bebidas (-1,0%) e material de construção (-0,6%). Por outro lado, houve variação positiva nos setores de combustíveis e lubrificantes (0,2%), veículos, motos e peças (0,3%) e tecidos, vestuário, calçados e acessórios (0,6%).

No acumulado do primeiro trimestre de 2016, apenas o segmento de combustíveis e lubrificantes, com variação de 5,3%, está com crescimento positivo em relação ao primeiro trimestre de 2015. Todos os demais segmentos varejistas estão com retração em relação ao acumulado dos primeiros três meses do ano passado: supermercados, hipermercados, alimentos e bebidas (-6,2%); móveis, eletroeletrônicos e informática (-13,1%); veículos, motos e peças (-19,5%); tecidos, vestuário, calçados e acessórios (-14,6%); material de construção (-4,5%).

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